A good date to start studying commodity prices and Kondratieff Wave cycles and evaluating the madness of crowds is today if you want to make profits in trading and go the opposite of the mad crowd mania


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How to Successfully Trade the FX Forex Futures Currency Markets

Forex futures or foreign exchange futures are also known as currency futures, or FX markets. It's a futures contract used in exchanging one currency for another currency at a fixed priced on the purchase date and at a specific future delivery date. The dollar is the typical currency used in the forex futures markets. It is also the underlying commodity in the same fx markets. Currency futures do not have any difference from all other commodities in the market. A good currencies trading system is basically traded the same way as other commodities futures markets.

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Futures prices are based on the cash currency markets, although there are some differences. For instance, currency futures are traded via established commodity exchanges such as the Chicago commodity exchange and the Oil exchange for example. However, forex futures are traded via electronically traded currency markets. Tulip Bulb Mania tulip bulb price chart circa 1637 Currencies are not as government controlled like the futures are and because of this, some day-traders prefer the currency futures better. Moreover, currency futures do not suffer the problems that currency markets are experiencing such as non-centralized prices, and trading of currency brokers against their clients.

Forex futures currencies are usually based on the exchange rates of two currencies; the U.S. Dollar and the Euro. These currencies are settled in cash, in the principal currency. For instance the Euro futures market is based upon the exchange rate of Euro to US Dollar. Once a Euro futures contract expires, there is a cash worth in Euros received by the holder. However, this only happens when the expiration of the contract is reached. In addition, day traders do not normally hold futures contracts until it reaches expiration. They should not also involve in any settlement as well as received deliveries of the principal currency.

Apart from Euro and US dollar, other popular currency futures in the market include British Pound, Swiss Franc, Australian Dollar, and Canadian Dollar. These currencies are offered by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange or the CME. The currency markets have the most popular trading markets as well as the most volume number of contracts and liquidity. Because of this, the markets become attractive to all types of entities and traders including governments, big banks, non-financial companies, financial companies, trading companies, individual small traders and day traders.

The two basic trading strategies that use forex derivatives are speculating and hedging. Speculating usually incur risks in order to make profits while hedging uses forex futures to eliminate or reduce risks by protecting itself from any future price movements.

The main purpose of using hedging strategy in the forex futures market is to balance the fluctuation effects of currencies based on sales revenue. In this strategy, traders often choose between a derivative known as the forward and the futures. Meanwhile, the speculating strategy is profit-driven by nature. Its advantages include lower spreads, lower transaction costs, and more leverage.

On the other hand, its disadvantages include requirement of a higher amount of capital, limited session trading times compared to much longer currency trading hours, and extra fees from the The National Futures Association (NFA). The trading techniques used in commodity futures speculating trade strategies are basically the same methods used in the forex spot market, also known as the spot forex markets

We will be offering a currency trading system soon. However, in the meantime the absolute best trading advise we can give you is always use a stop-loss order to protect you from losing too much money on trades where you have a wrong position. Get out with a small loss so you can continue trading without wiping out your account equity and that way you have the opportunity to recover from your losing trade and become profitable overall.

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Commodity Prices historical

Keep in mind, the prices of commodities like gold, silver, copper, crude oil, wheat and other commodity futures markets can literally collapse at any time (with little if any warning or widely known cause) possibly even overnight, which can greatly impact commodity futures traders carrying overnight trade positions) when trading at very high price levels (compared to historical prices). After a major bull market the collapse could happen suddenly and dramatically.

The commodities mania which started in Holland in the 1600s is the most dramatic and amazing of all commodity price collapses A commodity trade system would be hard-pressed to predict insane market mania and was a mania of historical proportions and significance, which was the tulip bulb market long ago in Europe (modern-day Netherlands) in the 17th century. Tulip mania a.k.a. tulip bulb mania; was a time period in the Dutch Golden Age when futures trading contract prices for tulip-bulbs of the recently introduced tulip reached incredibly high price levels, but then abruptly and without warning collapsed.

At the peak of the commodity futures price mania (caused by extraordinary popular delusions and the madness of crowds) in February of the year 1637, futures contracts sold for a incredible amount of money, greater than ten times the annual income of Dutch skilled craftsmen A commodity trade system would be hard-pressed to predict the insane market mania at the time. A single tulip bulb sold for 5,400 guilders on the Dutch commodity futures market at the market top, which stunning price was more than the cost of buying a nice Amsterdam house!

The amazing bull market mania followed by a devastating bear market collapse was the first recorded speculative economic bubble bursting, and took place on what is believed to be the world's first organized commodity futures exchange. Today's term 'tulip mania' is now used as an analogy to refer to any large financial market bubble which has already burst, or obviously will soon burst.

More recent modern day manias include the great bull markets in real estate (already collapsed vs its highs of 2005-2006), and recent major bull markets in specific stocks and the stock market in general, wheat, crude oil, silver, copper, and today's extremely elevated gold price. If commodity markets like those have not already collapsed you can certainly expect that to happen soon but probably no where near the amazing magnitude (both up and down) of he insane commodities trading mania of four centuries ago!

This is why you must watch for a change in trend, and always use a stop-loss order to avoid a huge loss. Be willing to take a small loss if the trade and trend turns against your position. That way you have some funds left to recover and make winning trades again. Refer to the amazing tulip price chart and keep in mind the price of the modern day gold market (or any other commodity) could also burst one day. In fact, you can basically count on the commodity price collapsing sooner or later!

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